Rapid review and meta-analysis of serial intervals for SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron variants

Zachary J. Madewell, Yang Yang, Ira M. Longini, M. Elizabeth Halloran, Alessandro Vespignani, and Natalie E. Dean
BMC Infectious Diseases
23, 1-9 (2023)
June 26, 2023

Abstract

The serial interval is the period of time between symptom onset in the primary case and symptom onset in the secondary case. Understanding the serial interval is important for determining transmission dynamics of infectious diseases like COVID-19, including the reproduction number and secondary attack rates, which could influence control measures. Early meta-analyses of COVID-19 reported serial intervals of 5.2 days (95% CI: 4.9–5.5) for the original wild-type variant and 5.2 days (95% CI: 4.87–5.47) for Alpha variant. The serial interval has been shown to decrease over the course of an epidemic for other respiratory diseases, which may be due to accumulating viral mutations and implementation of more effective nonpharmaceutical interventions. We therefore aggregated the literature to estimate serial intervals for Delta and Omicron variants.

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